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Kansas City Chiefs ATS record & betting trends 2026

The Kansas City Chiefs are 5–1 straight up and 3–3 against the spread (50.0%) in 2026, and the over is 2–4 in their games. Since 1999, the Chiefs are 235–228–9 ATS (50.8%): 112–120–6 at home, 139–151–5 as a favorite and 95–77–4 as an underdog. Their best ATS season was 2019 at 13–5–1.

Next game: vs New York Jets, Sunday, November 8, 1:00pm ET. Chiefs -10, total 46.5.
Since 1999 the Chiefs are 6–5 straight up and 7–4 ATS against the Jets; last meeting W 23–20 (Oct 2023). Backtest Chiefs at home vs Jets →

Kansas City Chiefs 2026 game log

WeekDateOpponentSpreadTotalResultATSO/U
1Sep 14vs Denver Broncos-2.542.5 W 31–10WUnder
2Sep 20vs Indianapolis Colts-646.5 W 33–30LOver
3Sep 27@ Miami Dolphins-1045.5 W 24–10WUnder
4Oct 4@ Las Vegas Raiders-4.547.5 W 30–27LOver
6Oct 18vs Los Angeles Chargers-7.541.5 W 22–6WUnder
7Oct 25@ Seattle Seahawks+343.5 L 3–20LUnder
8Nov 1@ Denver Broncos+1.541.5 awaiting result——
9Nov 8vs New York Jets-1046.5 1:00pm ET——
10Nov 15@ Atlanta Falcons—— 1:00pm ET——
11Nov 22vs Arizona Cardinals—— 1:00pm ET——
12Nov 26@ Buffalo Bills—— 8:20pm ET——
13Dec 3@ Los Angeles Rams—— 8:15pm ET——
14Dec 13@ Cincinnati Bengals—— 4:25pm ET——
15Dec 21vs New England Patriots—— 8:15pm ET——
16Dec 27vs San Francisco 49ers—— 4:25pm ET——
17Jan 3@ Los Angeles Chargers—— 1:00pm ET——
18Jan 10vs Las Vegas Raiders—— 1:00pm ET——

Chiefs against the spread by situation

Situation2026 ATS2026 O/USince 1999 ATSATS %Since 1999 O/U
All games3–32–4235–228–950.8%218–246–8
Home2–11–2112–120–648.3%103–132–3
Away1–21–2117–105–352.7%111–110–4
As favorite3–22–3139–151–547.9%134–159–2
As underdog0–10–195–77–455.2%83–87–6
Divisional games2–11–285–83–350.6%75–91–5
Primetime (7pm ET+)1–21–244–38–153.7%39–44
Playoffs——15–1451.7%13–15–1

Kansas City Chiefs ATS record by season since 1999

SeasonStraight upATSATS %Over–underPoints per game
20265–13–350.0%2–423.8–17.2
20256–116–1135.3%4–1321.3–19.3
202417–38–1240.0%9–1123.1–20.4
202315–613–7–165.0%6–14–122.2–17.0
202217–37–12–136.8%9–1129.2–22.2
202114–610–1050.0%12–829.4–22.4
202016–38–1142.1%9–1028.5–22.8
201915–413–5–172.2%10–929.9–20.2
201813–510–7–158.8%11–6–134.8–26.2
201710–710–758.8%8–925.6–21.2
201612–59–7–156.3%6–1123.8–19.4
201512–69–950.0%9–8–125.3–17.4
20149–710–662.5%5–1122.1–17.6
201311–69–852.9%8–927.9–20.6
20122–145–1131.3%7–8–113.2–26.6
20117–99–756.3%4–1213.3–21.1
201010–79–852.9%7–1021.9–20.9
20094–127–943.8%9–5–218.4–26.5
20082–148–850.0%8–818.2–27.5
20074–127–8–146.7%8–814.1–20.9
20069–88–947.1%7–9–119.9–19.9
200510–69–6–160.0%6–1025.2–20.3
20047–96–1037.5%10–630.2–27.2
200313–410–758.8%11–630.3–21.8
20028–810–5–166.7%11–529.2–24.9
20016–107–8–146.7%8–820.0–21.5
20007–97–943.8%7–8–122.2–22.1
19999–78–850.0%7–924.4–20.1

Test a Chiefs betting angle

Records like these are a starting point, not a prediction: short-term ATS streaks swing a lot by chance. Test an idea over more games in the backtester: Chiefs at home, Chiefs on the road, Chiefs as a home underdog, or compare every team on the NFL ATS records page. For player props, see player prop hit rates.

Graded against closing lines (nflverse data), games through November 1, 2026, updated daily. Snap Theory is a research site; we don't take bets or sell picks. 21+.