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New England Patriots ATS record & betting trends 2026
The New England Patriots are 4–3 straight up and 3–3–1 against the spread (50.0%) in 2026, and the over is 4–3 in their games. Since 1999, the Patriots are 266–209–15 ATS (56.0%): 133–105–9 at home, 189–150–10 as a favorite and 75–58–5 as an underdog. Their best ATS season was 2016 at 16–3.
New England Patriots 2026 game log
| Week | Date | Opponent | Spread | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 9 | @ Seattle Seahawks | +3 | 44.5 | L 10–13 | P | Under |
| 2 | Sep 20 | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | -4.5 | 41.5 | W 20–3 | W | Under |
| 3 | Sep 27 | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | +3 | 46.5 | L 6–35 | L | Under |
| 4 | Oct 4 | @ Buffalo Bills | +7 | 49.5 | W 29–26 | W | Over |
| 5 | Oct 11 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 45–17 | W | Over |
| 6 | Oct 18 | vs New York Jets | -7.5 | 43.5 | W 26–19 | L | Over |
| 7 | Oct 22 | @ Chicago Bears | +3 | 50.5 | L 24–30 | L | Over |
| 8 | Nov 1 | @ Miami Dolphins | -7 | 41.5 | awaiting result | — | — |
| 9 | Nov 8 | vs Green Bay Packers | -2.5 | 47.5 | 4:25pm ET | — | — |
| 10 | Nov 15 | @ Detroit Lions | — | — | 9:30am ET | — | — |
| 12 | Nov 29 | @ Los Angeles Chargers | — | — | 8:20pm ET | — | — |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs Buffalo Bills | — | — | 4:25pm ET | — | — |
| 14 | Dec 10 | vs Minnesota Vikings | — | — | 8:15pm ET | — | — |
| 15 | Dec 21 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | — | — | 8:15pm ET | — | — |
| 16 | Dec 27 | @ New York Jets | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs Denver Broncos | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 18 | Jan 10 | vs Miami Dolphins | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
Patriots against the spread by situation
| Situation | 2026 ATS | 2026 O/U | Since 1999 ATS | ATS % | Since 1999 O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3–3–1 | 4–3 | 266–209–15 | 56.0% | 247–235–8 |
| Home | 2–1 | 2–1 | 133–105–9 | 55.9% | 128–112–7 |
| Away | 1–2–1 | 2–2 | 126–96–6 | 56.8% | 113–114–1 |
| As favorite | 2–1 | 2–1 | 189–150–10 | 55.8% | 168–174–7 |
| As underdog | 1–2–1 | 2–2 | 75–58–5 | 56.4% | 77–60–1 |
| Divisional games | 1–1 | 2–0 | 94–73–6 | 56.3% | 86–84–3 |
| Primetime (7pm ET+) | 0–1–1 | 1–1 | 55–45–4 | 55.0% | 51–50–3 |
| Playoffs | — | — | 23–22–1 | 51.1% | 22–22–2 |
New England Patriots ATS record by season since 1999
| Season | Straight up | ATS | ATS % | Over–under | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4–3 | 3–3–1 | 50.0% | 4–3 | 22.9–20.4 |
| 2025 | 17–4 | 14–7 | 66.7% | 12–9 | 26.5–17.9 |
| 2024 | 4–13 | 7–9–1 | 43.8% | 11–6 | 17.0–24.5 |
| 2023 | 4–13 | 5–11–1 | 31.3% | 7–10 | 13.9–21.5 |
| 2022 | 8–9 | 7–9–1 | 43.8% | 8–9 | 21.4–20.4 |
| 2021 | 10–8 | 10–8 | 55.6% | 10–8 | 26.6–19.4 |
| 2020 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 5–10–1 | 20.4–22.1 |
| 2019 | 12–5 | 8–8–1 | 50.0% | 7–10 | 25.5–14.4 |
| 2018 | 14–5 | 12–7 | 63.2% | 7–12 | 27.7–20.4 |
| 2017 | 15–4 | 12–7 | 63.2% | 9–10 | 28.9–19.5 |
| 2016 | 17–2 | 16–3 | 84.2% | 9–10 | 28.7–16.4 |
| 2015 | 13–5 | 8–8–2 | 50.0% | 10–8 | 28.3–19.7 |
| 2014 | 15–4 | 11–8 | 57.9% | 11–7–1 | 30.3–19.7 |
| 2013 | 13–5 | 9–9 | 50.0% | 10–8 | 27.9–21.4 |
| 2012 | 13–5 | 10–7–1 | 58.8% | 12–6 | 33.9–21.5 |
| 2011 | 15–4 | 10–9 | 52.6% | 12–7 | 31.5–20.7 |
| 2010 | 14–3 | 10–6–1 | 62.5% | 14–3 | 31.7–20.1 |
| 2009 | 10–7 | 8–8–1 | 50.0% | 6–10–1 | 25.9–18.7 |
| 2008 | 11–5 | 9–7 | 56.3% | 8–7–1 | 25.6–19.3 |
| 2007 | 18–1 | 10–9 | 52.6% | 11–7–1 | 34.5–17.0 |
| 2006 | 14–5 | 11–8 | 57.9% | 8–11 | 25.3–16.4 |
| 2005 | 11–7 | 9–9 | 50.0% | 8–8–2 | 23.3–20.4 |
| 2004 | 17–2 | 13–4–2 | 76.5% | 9–9–1 | 27.5–16.4 |
| 2003 | 17–2 | 15–4 | 78.9% | 9–10 | 22.2–15.5 |
| 2002 | 9–7 | 6–10 | 37.5% | 6–10 | 23.8–21.6 |
| 2001 | 14–5 | 13–5–1 | 72.2% | 10–9 | 22.7–16.8 |
| 2000 | 5–11 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 8–8 | 17.3–21.1 |
| 1999 | 8–8 | 6–8–2 | 42.9% | 6–10 | 18.7–17.8 |
Test a Patriots betting angle
Records like these are a starting point, not a prediction: short-term ATS streaks swing a lot by chance. Test an idea over more games in the backtester: Patriots at home, Patriots on the road, Patriots as a home underdog, or compare every team on the NFL ATS records page. For player props, see player prop hit rates.
Graded against closing lines (nflverse data), games through November 1, 2026, updated daily. Snap Theory is a research site; we don't take bets or sell picks. 21+.