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Atlanta Falcons ATS record & betting trends 2026
The Atlanta Falcons are 3–5 straight up and 3–5 against the spread (37.5%) in 2026, and the over is 4–4 in their games. Since 1999, the Falcons are 209–241–9 ATS (46.4%): 97–126–3 at home, 100–120–5 as a favorite and 109–120–4 as an underdog. Their best ATS season was 2009 at 11–5.
Atlanta Falcons 2026 game log
| Week | Date | Opponent | Spread | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 13 | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | +6.5 | 40.5 | L 13–20 | L | Under |
| 2 | Sep 20 | vs Carolina Panthers | +2.5 | 43.5 | L 3–34 | L | Under |
| 3 | Sep 24 | @ Green Bay Packers | +4.5 | 43.5 | W 35–14 | W | Over |
| 4 | Oct 5 | @ New Orleans Saints | +1.5 | 47.5 | W 45–24 | W | Over |
| 5 | Oct 11 | vs Baltimore Ravens | -3.5 | 44.5 | L 23–30 | L | Over |
| 6 | Oct 18 | vs Chicago Bears | +1.5 | 51.5 | L 23–31 | L | Over |
| 7 | Oct 25 | vs San Francisco 49ers | +2.5 | 49.5 | W 29–20 | W | Under |
| 8 | Nov 1 | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2.5 | 42.5 | L 0–16 | L | Under |
| 9 | Nov 8 | vs Cincinnati Bengals | +3.5 | 49.5 | 9:30am ET | — | — |
| 10 | Nov 15 | vs Kansas City Chiefs | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 12 | Nov 29 | @ Minnesota Vikings | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 13 | Dec 6 | vs Detroit Lions | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 14 | Dec 13 | @ Cleveland Browns | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 15 | Dec 20 | @ Washington Commanders | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 16 | Dec 27 | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 17 | Jan 3 | vs New Orleans Saints | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
| 18 | Jan 10 | @ Carolina Panthers | — | — | 1:00pm ET | — | — |
Falcons against the spread by situation
| Situation | 2026 ATS | 2026 O/U | Since 1999 ATS | ATS % | Since 1999 O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3–5 | 4–4 | 209–241–9 | 46.4% | 205–247–7 |
| Home | 1–3 | 2–2 | 97–126–3 | 43.5% | 104–118–4 |
| Away | 2–2 | 2–2 | 108–113–6 | 48.9% | 97–127–3 |
| As favorite | 0–1 | 1–0 | 100–120–5 | 45.5% | 103–117–5 |
| As underdog | 3–4 | 3–4 | 109–120–4 | 47.6% | 102–129–2 |
| Divisional games | 1–2 | 1–2 | 78–90–3 | 46.4% | 79–88–4 |
| Primetime (7pm ET+) | 2–1 | 3–0 | 34–30 | 53.1% | 28–35–1 |
| Playoffs | — | — | 5–9 | 35.7% | 8–5–1 |
Atlanta Falcons ATS record by season since 1999
| Season | Straight up | ATS | ATS % | Over–under | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 37.5% | 4–4 | 21.4–23.6 |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 9–8 | 52.9% | 8–9 | 20.8–23.6 |
| 2024 | 8–9 | 6–11 | 35.3% | 7–10 | 22.9–24.9 |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 5–12 | 29.4% | 7–10 | 18.9–21.9 |
| 2022 | 7–10 | 8–8–1 | 50.0% | 7–10 | 21.5–22.7 |
| 2021 | 7–10 | 6–10–1 | 37.5% | 7–10 | 18.4–27.0 |
| 2020 | 4–12 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 7–9 | 24.8–25.9 |
| 2019 | 7–9 | 8–8 | 50.0% | 7–9 | 23.8–24.9 |
| 2018 | 7–9 | 5–11 | 31.3% | 9–7 | 25.9–26.4 |
| 2017 | 11–7 | 8–10 | 44.4% | 5–13 | 21.6–19.1 |
| 2016 | 13–6 | 12–7 | 63.2% | 17–2 | 34.1–25.3 |
| 2015 | 8–8 | 6–10 | 37.5% | 2–13–1 | 21.2–21.6 |
| 2014 | 6–10 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 6–10 | 23.8–26.1 |
| 2013 | 4–12 | 7–9 | 43.8% | 9–7 | 22.1–27.7 |
| 2012 | 14–4 | 9–8–1 | 52.9% | 7–11 | 26.3–19.7 |
| 2011 | 10–7 | 7–8–2 | 46.7% | 7–10 | 23.8–22.0 |
| 2010 | 13–4 | 11–6 | 64.7% | 10–5–2 | 25.6–19.8 |
| 2009 | 9–7 | 11–5 | 68.8% | 7–9 | 22.7–20.3 |
| 2008 | 11–6 | 9–8 | 52.9% | 8–9 | 24.4–20.9 |
| 2007 | 4–12 | 8–8 | 50.0% | 9–7 | 16.2–25.9 |
| 2006 | 7–9 | 7–8–1 | 46.7% | 4–11–1 | 18.3–20.5 |
| 2005 | 8–8 | 7–8–1 | 46.7% | 8–7–1 | 21.9–21.3 |
| 2004 | 12–6 | 8–10 | 44.4% | 6–11–1 | 22.1–21.2 |
| 2003 | 5–11 | 6–10 | 37.5% | 7–9 | 18.7–26.4 |
| 2002 | 10–7–1 | 11–7 | 61.1% | 8–10 | 24.2–18.9 |
| 2001 | 7–9 | 6–8–2 | 42.9% | 5–11 | 18.2–23.6 |
| 2000 | 4–12 | 6–10 | 37.5% | 8–7–1 | 15.8–25.8 |
| 1999 | 5–11 | 6–10 | 37.5% | 9–7 | 17.8–23.8 |
Test a Falcons betting angle
Records like these are a starting point, not a prediction: short-term ATS streaks swing a lot by chance. Test an idea over more games in the backtester: Falcons at home, Falcons on the road, Falcons as a home underdog, or compare every team on the NFL ATS records page. For player props, see player prop hit rates.
Graded against closing lines (nflverse data), games through November 1, 2026, updated daily. Snap Theory is a research site; we don't take bets or sell picks. 21+.